Aqueduct Picks Results Friday

Cashed on 8 of 9 (Top Pick Winner or Exacta Hit)

Battaglia's Picks
November 23, 2024

Friday, November 22, 2024

Aqueduct

Battaglia’s Picks recommends playing Exacta Boxes:

Surefire Selections (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐): Prime picks with the highest confidence level. Place your bets with utmost assurance.
Stellar Selections (⭐⭐⭐⭐): Strong contenders with solid prospects. A very favorable betting choice.
Notable Nominations (⭐⭐⭐): Worthy of attention, these picks hold intriguing potential.
Moderate Mentions (⭐⭐): Proceed with caution. These horses present some possibilities, but also notable risks.
Consider Skipping (⭐): Best to observe. The risks likely outweigh the potential rewards in these races.

1^st 3-2-5-6 ⭐⭐⭐	6^th 4-6-7-3 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
2^nd 4-3-2-5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐	7^th 7-3-5-4 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
3^rd 1-3-6-2 ⭐⭐⭐⭐	8^th 7-5-2-6 ⭐⭐⭐
4^th 4-6-3-1 ⭐⭐⭐⭐	9^th 3-4-2-5 ⭐⭐⭐
5^th 4-2-6-9 ⭐⭐⭐

Race 1

Post: 12:10 PM ET Dirt

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 8-1 Monetary Monarch L. Luzzi 124 Lbs L. Lugovich L
2 2 ML 9-5 Granadilla J. Gomez 122 Lbs R. Dutrow, Jr. L
3 3 ML 7-5 Catchphrase F. Prat 124 Lbs W. Walden FTL
4 4 ML 20-1 Lonchura W. Vasquez 122 Lbs O. Barrera III L
5 5 ML 8-1 Blue Suede Sue K. Carmouche 124 Lbs D. Gargan L
6 6 ML 7-2 Capital Spending D. Davis 122 Lbs J. Abreu L

Selections 3-2-5-6 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#3 Catchphrase (7-5)

Jockey: Flavien Prat (22% in 2024)
Trainer: William Walden (20% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 23%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 80, Late 88
Last Beyer: N/A (First-time starter)
Field Beyer Average: 59
Running Style: Unknown (Debut)

Comment: Catchphrase debuts for the powerhouse Prat-Walden combo, a notable 23% partnership. Sired by Bolt d’Oro, this filly has been working impressively, including a standout :47 flat at Turfway. A $200,000 purchase, she signals serious intent for this spot. Pedigree suggests adaptability to Aqueduct’s conditions. A solid choice despite first-time starter uncertainty.

#2 Granadilla (9-5)

Jockey: Jose A. Gomez (9% in 2024)
Trainer: Richard E. Dutrow Jr. (43% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 18%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 116, Late 40
Last Beyer: 63
Field Beyer Average: 59
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Granadilla has been the bridesmaid repeatedly but shows strong early speed figures (116 TimeformUS Early Pace). Dutrow’s excellent 43% win rate at the meet makes her a consistent contender. However, she struggles to finish races strongly. Her Beyer of 63 is the highest in the field, but value may be limited at low odds.

#5 Blue Suede Sue (8-1)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche (18% in 2024)
Trainer: Danny Gargan (19% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 18%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 79, Late 63
Last Beyer: 47
Field Beyer Average: 59
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Blue Suede Sue had excuses in her last effort, encountering a troubled start and failing to fire on turf. She returns to dirt, where her pedigree (Nyquist) shines. Gargan excels with turf-to-dirt moves, hitting at 40%. Carmouche is an aggressive pilot who may help her get involved early in this modest pace setup. An intriguing value play at 8-1.

#6 Capital Spending (7-2)

Jockey: Dylan Davis (23% in 2024)
Trainer: Jorge R. Abreu (17% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 13%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 86, Late 76
Last Beyer: 71
Field Beyer Average: 59
Running Style: Presser

Comment: Capital Spending shifts from turf to dirt and cuts back in distance. She showed closing kick on turf but failed to win. Davis is in hot form, and Abreu is adept with similar moves (18% in sprint routes). Her consistent works suggest readiness for a sharp effort.

Winner #2 Granadilla $7.10
Second #6 Capital Spending $1 Exacta $14.00
Third #3 Catchphrase .50 Trifecta $13.62

Race 2

Post: 12:40 PM ET Dirt

1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING: $80,000 | Purse: $100,000 Exacta ($1), Quinella ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 2 & 3 Pick 3 ($1) (2-4), Pick 4 (.50) (2-5)

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 10-1 Captainsdaughter J. Castellano 121 Lbs R. Cash L
3 3 ML 9-5 St. Benedicts Prep F. Prat 121 Lbs L. Rice L
4 4 ML 8-5 Chi Town Lady J. Rosario 121 Lbs W. Ward L
5 5 ML 7-2 Movie Moxy J. Lezcano 121 Lbs L. Rice L

Selections 4-3-5 Rating ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

#4 Chi Town Lady (8-5)

Jockey: Joel Rosario (26% in 2024)
Trainer: Wesley Ward (33% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 21%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 71, Late 94
Last Beyer: 97
Field Beyer Average: 85
Running Style: Closer

Comment: Chi Town Lady, the class of this field, boasts a strong Beyer of 97, the highest recent figure in the lineup. She has performed well in graded company and has shown a strong late kick, ideal for today’s pace scenario. Rosario’s ability to time her closing move complements her style, and Ward’s 33% strike rate adds confidence. Despite her short odds, her back class and adaptability make her the one to beat.

#3 St. Benedicts Prep (9-5)

Jockey: Flavien Prat (22% in 2024)
Trainer: Linda Rice (17% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 13%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 115, Late 55
Last Beyer: 89
Field Beyer Average: 85
Running Style: Speed

Comment: St. Benedicts Prep enters with consistent Beyers in the upper 80s and a strong win over allowance company two back. She’ll likely set or press the pace with her high early speed figure (115). Prat’s aggressive riding style should suit her front-running tendencies. However, she might be vulnerable late against stronger closers, especially Chi Town Lady.

#5 Movie Moxy (7-2)

Jockey: Jose Lezcano (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Linda Rice (17% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 20%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 94, Late 83
Last Beyer: 84
Field Beyer Average: 85
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Movie Moxy’s recent efforts have been commendable, including multiple second-place finishes in stakes and allowance company. Her stalking style fits well into today’s pace scenario, and she’s a consistent presence at this level. Rice-Lezcano is a reliable pairing, and her recent works suggest readiness. While not flashy, she is reliable for exotics.

Winner #5 Movie Moxy $9.90
Second #3 St. Benedicts Prep $1 Exacta $16.00
Third #4 Chi Town Lady

Race 3

Post: 1:10 PM ET Dirt

1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING: $40,000 | Purse: $45,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 3 & 4, Pick 3 ($1) (3-5) Pick 4 (.50) (3-6)

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 9-5 She's Cool J. Lezcano 118 Lbs L. Rice $40,000 L
2 2 ML 8-1 Moonlit Weekend F. Prat 121 Lbs R. Rodriguez $40,000 L
3 3 ML 7-2 Five to Two D. Davis 118 Lbs H. De Paz $40,000 L
5 5 ML 20-1 Saucy Six K. Davis 120 Lbs R. Keithan $40,000 L
6 6 ML 6-1 Shehanah M. Franco 118 Lbs H. De Paz $40,000 L

Selections 1-3-6-2 Rating ⭐⭐⭐⭐

#1 She’s Cool (9-5)

Jockey: Jose Lezcano (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Linda Rice (17% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 20%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 72, Late 73
Last Beyer: 66
Field Beyer Average: 62
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: She’s Cool drops in for a claiming price for the first time since May, a positive angle for Linda Rice, who excels in this scenario (26% win rate). She’s shown consistent form and competitive Beyers, with a close second at a higher level two starts back. Her stalking style suits today’s pace setup, and her 6-7 wide bid in her last race hints she’s sitting on a peak effort.

#3 Five to Two (7-2)

Jockey: Dylan Davis (23% in 2024)
Trainer: Horacio De Paz (14% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 14%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 91, Late 66
Last Beyer: 68
Field Beyer Average: 62
Running Style: Presser

Comment: Five to Two offers tactical speed with consistency, including a recent third-place finish in allowance company. Davis’s hot hand and De Paz’s conditioning make her a solid play, with potential to control or press the pace.

#6 Shehanah (6-1)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Horacio De Paz (14% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 14%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 98, Late 50
Last Beyer: 62
Field Beyer Average: 62
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Shehanah broke her maiden three starts back with an authoritative win and followed up with a solid third in a tougher allowance field. She finished 5^th last out while coming off a 2 month layoff. Her early speed (98 TimeformUS Early Pace) is an asset in a race lacking clear front-runners. If she clears the field early, she could steal the race at attractive odds.

#2 Moonlit Weekend (8-1)

Jockey: Flavien Prat (22% in 2024)
Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez (11% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 13%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 80, Late 75
Last Beyer: 70
Field Beyer Average: 62
Running Style: Closer

Comment: Moonlit Weekend steps back to a more competitive level after struggling against tougher allowance company. Her Beyer of 70 two starts back is the second highest in the field, and Prat’s booking suggests intent. She’ll need a fast pace to close into, but her strong late kick makes her an intriguing longshot.

Winner #3 Five to Two $5.50
Second #6 Shehanah $1 Exacta $10.40
Third #1 She’s Cool .50 Trifecta $10.75
Fourth #2 Moonlit Weekend .10 Super $2.87

_{Race 4}

_{Post: 1:39 PM ET Dirt}

_{6 Furlongs | Auction | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $50,000 | Purse: $70,000 Exacta ($1), Quinella ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 4 & 5 Pick 3 ($1) (4-6), Pick 6 ($1) (4-9)}

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

2 2 ML 20-1 Premier Cru F. Martinez 114 Lbs A. Sanchez-Pinero
_{3 3 ML 6-1 Bobby Bob J. Lezcano 119 Lbs J. Ryerson}
_{4 4 ML 1-1 Western Wolf D. Davis 119 Lbs M. Friedman}
5 5 ML 15-1 Henry's Hope O. Hernandez Moreno 119 Lbs E. Jones
7 7 ML 15-1 Max N Fifo R. Silvera 119 Lbs R. Rodriguez

_{Selections 4-3-Rating}_⭐⭐⭐⭐

_{#4 Western Wolf (1-1)}

_Jockey:_{Dylan Davis (23% in 2024)}
_Trainer:_{Mitchell Friedman (11% in 2024)}
_{Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24:}_10%
_{TimeformUS Pace:}_{Early 110, Late 35}
_{Last Beyer:}₆₃
_{Field Beyer Average:}₅₁
_{Running Style:}_Speed

_Comment:_{Western Wolf brings solid credentials for this Maiden Optional Claiming level, including a Beyer of 63 that tops the field. He’s shown early speed in both starts and figures to be on the lead in a race lacking other aggressive pacesetters. While he’s yet to close the deal, he’s held his own against tougher competition.}

_{#3 Bobby Bob (6-1)}

_Jockey:_{Jose Lezcano (16% in 2024)}
_Trainer:_{James T. Ryerson (12% in 2024)}
_{Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24:}_12%
_{TimeformUS Pace:}_{Early 85, Late 65}
_{Last Beyer:}_{N/A (Debut)}
_{Field Beyer Average:}₅₁
_{Running Style:}_{Unknown (Debut)}

_Comment:_{Bobby Bob is another first-time starter with an intriguing pedigree. Sired by Constitution out of a Hard Spun mare, he’s bred to excel at today’s distance. His workouts have been steady, and while Ryerson’s first-out stats are modest, Lezcano’s booking is a positive signal. A viable contender if ready to fire.}

Winner #4 Western Wolf $2.70
Second #3 Bobby Bob $1 Exacta $2.85

Race 5

Post: 2:09 PM ET Dirt

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 12-1 Honey in the Bank K. Carmouche 119 Lbs H. De Paz
2 2 ML 5-2 Forever to Go J. Velazquez 119 Lbs M. Hennig
3 3 ML 20-1 Phonecalltoheaven K. Davis 119 Lbs M. Miceli
4 4 ML 7-2 Lottie Margaret M. Franco 119 Lbs B. Cox
5 5 ML 8-1 Howling Wind L. Rivera, Jr. 119 Lbs J. Ferraro
6 6 ML 5-1 Princess Mischief J. Rosario 119 Lbs C. Englehart
7 7 ML 20-1 Dynamitendiamonds F. Martinez 114 Lbs A. Sanchez-Pinero
8 8 ML 8-1 Twirling Lulu J. Castellano 119 Lbs B. Levine
9 9 ML 4-1 Wild Mischief D. Davis 119 Lbs M. Maker

Selections 4-2-6-9 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#4 Lottie Margaret (7-2)

Jockey: Florent Geroux (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Brad Cox (27% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 31%
TimeformUS Pace: N/A (Debut)
Last Beyer: N/A (Debut)
Field Beyer Average: 53
Running Style: Unknown (Debut)

Comment: Lottie Margaret debuts for Brad Cox, whose barn has a 24% win rate with first-time starters. Her sharp gate drills, including a :48.2 workout, signal readiness. With Geroux aboard, this filly has the right connections and preparation to deliver a standout effort.

#2 Forever to Go (5-2)

Jockey: John R. Velazquez (14% in 2024)
Trainer: Mark Hennig (7% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 14%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 109, Late 43
Last Beyer: 67
Field Beyer Average: 53
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Forever to Go has been competitive on turf, posting a strong Beyer of 67 in her latest outing. Her pedigree suggests she’ll transition well to dirt, and Velazquez’s experience adds further upside. Expect her to set or press the pace and remain a major player throughout.

#6 Princess Mischief (5-1)

Jockey: Joel Rosario (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Chris Englehart (17% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 0%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 74, Late 73
Last Beyer: 57
Field Beyer Average: 53
Running Style: Closer

Comment: Princess Mischief has been consistent, with two on-the-board finishes in three starts. She fits well at this level and looks poised to hit the board again.

#9 Wild Mischief (4-1)

Jockey: Dylan Davis (19% in 2024)
Trainer: Michael Maker (15% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 21%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 103, Late 56
Last Beyer: 68
Field Beyer Average: 53
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Wild Mischief switches to dirt and adds blinkers, a combination that often signals improvement. Her Beyer figures on turf are competitive, and Maker’s 13% win rate with first-time blinkers is solid. Her tactical speed makes her a prime contender to control the race early.

Winner #6 Princess Mischief $10.20
Second #2 Forever To Go $1 Exacta $31.25
Third #4 Lottie Margaret .50 Trifecta $57.50

Race 6

Post: 2:38 PM ET Dirt

1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING : $16,000 | Purse: $40,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 6 & 7, Pick 3 ($1) (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) (6-9)

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 20-1 Joey the Fish F. Martinez 116 Lbs R. Persaud $16,000 L
2 2 ML 30-1 Carbon O. Hernandez Moreno 121 Lbs R. Samsundar $16,000 L
3 3 ML 7-2 April Antics M. Franco 121 Lbs O. Barrera III $16,000 L
4 4 ML 8-5 Trade Secret F. Prat 121 Lbs R. Rodriguez $16,000 L
7 7 ML 4-1 Hazardous Humor J. Lezcano 121 Lbs W. Potts $16,000 L

Selections 4-7-3 Rating ⭐⭐⭐⭐

#4 Trade Secret (8-5)

Jockey: Flavien Prat (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez (13% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 13%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 91, Late 58
Last Beyer: 72
Field Beyer Average: 66
Running Style: Presser

Comment: Trade Secret drops slightly in class to this $16,000 claiming race after showing consistent form in her recent starts. Her Beyer of 72 in her last effort is tied for the best in this field, and her ability to sit just off the leaders before making a move fits today’s likely pace scenario. Prat is an ideal pilot for her pressing style, and Rodriguez is highly effective in these claiming scenarios (12% win rate in 2024). Trade Secret’s prior efforts at Aqueduct have shown she handles the surface well. The combination of tactical speed, class drop, and an experienced jockey-trainer team makes her the horse to beat.

#7 Hazardous Humor (4-1)

Jockey: Jose Lezcano (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Wayne Potts (13% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 14%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 87, Late 57
Last Beyer: 68
Field Beyer Average: 66
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Hazardous Humor comes off an impressive victory in a six-furlong sprint at this level, rallying to win with a strong closing effort. She stretches out to a mile today, a distance where she has previously performed well, including a career-best Beyer of 76. Her stalking style should allow her to sit just behind the speed and make a move when the early leaders tire. Lezcano, a skilled rider at navigating pace scenarios, will need to ensure she is positioned close enough to the front for her late kick to be effective. Hazardous Humor’s pedigree (by Classic Empire) and her recent sharp workout at Belmont signal she’s ready to fire again.

#3 April Antics (7-2)

Jockey: Manny Franco (18% in 2024)
Trainer: Oscar Barrera III (5% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 10%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 76, Late 83
Last Beyer: 72
Field Beyer Average: 66
Running Style: Presser

Comment: April Antics has been knocking on the door at this level, with two top-three finishes in her last three starts, including a career-best Beyer of 72 two back. She’s a gritty competitor who typically races near the pace, and her ability to sustain her effort through the stretch makes her a reliable player in this field. Franco has ridden her effectively in the past and is well-suited to her pressing style. While she lacks the explosive late kick of others in this field, her consistent performances make her a dependable choice for exotic wagers. She’ll need a well-timed ride to break through for the win today.

Winner #7 Hazardous Humor $4.40
Second #4 Trade Secret $1 Exacta $3.90
Third #3 April Antics .50 Trifecta $3.335

Race 7

Post: 3:08 PM ET Dirt

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 15-1 Spirit of Esther L. Rivera, Jr. 118 Lbs C. Martin L
2 2 ML 12-1 Scarlet's Dream R. Maragh 118 Lbs M. Giddings L
3 3 ML 7-5 My Magic Wand J. Velazquez 120 Lbs G. Sacco L
4 4 ML 6-1 Carol T K. Davis 120 Lbs J. Jimenez L
5 5 ML 6-1 Aunt Yola K. Carmouche 120 Lbs H. De Paz L
6 6 ML 20-1 Gregorian Solo L. Luzzi 118 Lbs L. Lugovich L
7 7 ML 8-5 Geopolitics J. Rosario 120 Lbs W. Mott L

Selections 7-3-5-4 Rating ⭐⭐⭐⭐

#7 Geopolitics (8-5)

Jockey: Joel Rosario (26% in 2024)
Trainer: William Mott (15% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 13%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 115, Late 47
Last Beyer: 79
Field Beyer Average: 70
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Geopolitics has been remarkably consistent, with five top-two finishes in her 7 career starts with a win and a third. Rosario knows her well, having ridden her in all seven starts, and excels with this front-running type. Her prior performances at Aqueduct suggest she handles this track well, though her tendency to tire late could leave her vulnerable to a deep closer. Despite short odds, her tactical speed and consistency make her the horse to beat.

#3 My Magic Wand (7-5)

Jockey: John R. Velazquez (14% in 2024)
Trainer: Gregory Sacco (20% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 25%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 118, Late 55
Last Beyer: 80
Field Beyer Average: 70
Running Style: Speed

Comment: My Magic Wand stepped forward in her second career start, breaking her maiden in decisive fashion with a Beyer of 80. The daughter of Gun Runner is bred to improve with experience, and her strong early pace figures make her a pace factor here. Velazquez’s patient handling could prove pivotal in keeping her controlled early. If she replicates her last effort, she’s a serious threat to Geopolitics, especially with upside in only her third lifetime start.

#5 Aunt Yola (6-1)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche (18% in 2024)
Trainer: Horacio De Paz (14% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 22%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 95, Late 68
Last Beyer: 73
Field Beyer Average: 70
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Aunt Yola returns to dirt after several turf starts, where she faced tough companyCarmouche’s aggressive riding style complements her best running style, and her sharp recent workouts indicate readiness. She offers value as an improving type switching back to her preferred surface.

#4 Carol T (6-1)

Jockey: Dylan Davis (8% in 2024)
Trainer: Jose Jimenez (7% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 0%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 77, Late 68
Last Beyer: 72
Field Beyer Average: 70
Running Style: Presser

Comment: Carol T has been knocking on the door at this level, with a recent runner-up finish at 6 furlongs. She stretches out slightly to 7 furlongs, a distance where she has struggled to maintain her closing punch in the past. Davis will need to position her closer to the leaders early to maximize her chances. While consistent, she needs improvement to contend with the top two choices.

Winner #3 My Magic Wand $3.90
Second #7 Geioikutucs $1 Exacta $5.00
Third #4 Carol T .50 Trifecta $7.25

Race 8

Post: 3:38 PM ET Dirt

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 15-1 Brew Pub L. Rivera, Jr. 123 Lbs C. Englehart $45,000 L
2 2 ML 7-2 Bourbon Chase D. Davis 121 Lbs M. Maker L
3 3 ML 20-1 Cable Ready E. Ruiz 120 Lbs L. Dixon L
4 4 ML 6-1 Colloquy F. Prat 121 Lbs J. Abreu L
5 5 ML 3-1 Shadow Dragon J. Alvarado 121 Lbs W. Mott L
6 6 ML 6-1 Two's a Crowd J. Castellano 120 Lbs D. Ryan L
7 7 ML 5-2 Mighty Atlas M. Franco 125 Lbs M. Maker $45,000 L
8 8 ML 30-1 Allure of Money J. Gomez 123 Lbs C. Baker $45,000 L
9 9 ML 10-1 Engineer Empire J. Rosario 121 Lbs C. Clement L

Selections 7-5-2-6 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#7 Mighty Atlas (5-2)

Jockey: Manny Franco (18% in 2024)
Trainer: Michael Maker (15% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 16%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 90, Late 92
Last Beyer: 88
Field Beyer Average: 81
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Mighty Atlas has been in excellent form this year, winning three of his last five starts, including an impressive gate-to-wire victory in his latest outing on a muddy track. His stalking style makes him versatile, and he is proven at this level. Franco has been aboard for many of his successes, and Maker’s ability to keep horses sharp bodes well. His career-best Beyer of 90 at this distance makes him a strong contender, especially with a favorable pace setup here.

#5 Shadow Dragon (3-1)

Jockey: Junior Alvarado (15% in 2024)
Trainer: William Mott (15% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 16%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 68, Late 106
Last Beyer: 85
Field Beyer Average: 81
Running Style: Presser

Comment: Shadow Dragon has been knocking on the door at this level, with seven straight in the money finishes. His impressive late pace figure (106) indicates he’ll be closing strongly, especially if the race develops a fast early pace. Alvarado is skilled at timing moves on horses with late runs, and Mott’s runners are known for their consistency. Shadow Dragon needs a clean trip to capitalize on his closing kick, but he is a major threat in this field.

#2 Bourbon Chase (7-2)

Jockey: Dylan Davis (23% in 2024)
Trainer: Michael Maker (15% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 16%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 88, Late 91
Last Beyer: 87
Field Beyer Average: 81
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Bourbon Chase has shown consistent performances, with three second-place finishes from four starts in 2024, including a close runner-up effort at this level last time out. His Beyer figures (87) make him competitive, and he’s versatile enough to adapt to today’s pace scenario. Davis’s ability to secure ground-saving trips could make the difference. Though still searching for a breakthrough win this year, he has the credentials to contend here.

#6 Two’s a Crowd (6-1)

Jockey: Javier Castellano (13% in 2024)
Trainer: Derek Ryan (17% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 25%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 96, Late 99
Last Beyer: 86
Field Beyer Average: 81
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Two’s a Crowd delivered a strong effort last out, finishing third after pressing the pace throughout. His early pace figures (96) indicate he’ll likely be prominent early, and Castellano’s experience can help manage his speed to save energy for the stretch run. His win at Saratoga earlier this year shows he can handle quality fields, and his consistency at this distance makes him a live contender at a fair price.

Race 9

Post: 4:07 PM ET Dirt

# PP ODDS Horse Jockey Weight Trainer Claim $ Med.

1 1 ML 12-1 Wind Dancer D. Davis 122 Lbs D. Donk $30,000 L
2 2 ML 9-2 Allofasuddenlee M. Franco 122 Lbs R. Falcone, Jr. $30,000 L
3 3 ML 5-1 Magic Beach J. Lezcano 122 Lbs L. Rice $30,000 L
4 4 ML 7-2 Big Rich K. Carmouche 122 Lbs J. Englehart $30,000 L
5 5 ML 4-1 Judge Rules R. Silvera 122 Lbs R. Rodriguez $30,000 L
6 6 ML 10-1 Braca W. Vasquez 122 Lbs O. Barrera III $30,000 L
7 7 ML 12-1 Sweet Tone L. Luzzi 122 Lbs G. Sciacca $30,000 L
8 8 ML 5-1 Big Ego J. Rosario 122 Lbs G. Rodriguez $30,000 L
9 9 ML 20-1 Triple Word Score L. Rivera, Jr. 122 Lbs J. Bernardini $30,000 L
10 10 ML 20-1 Isomarshall K. Davis 122 Lbs R. Keithan $30,000 L

Selections 3-4-2-5 Rating ⭐⭐⭐

#3 Magic Beach (5-1)

Jockey: Jose Lezcano (16% in 2024)
Trainer: Linda Rice (14% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 20%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 104, Late 74
Last Beyer: 55
Field Beyer Average: 51
Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Magic Beach takes a significant drop from maiden special weight to maiden claiming, a move that Linda Rice excels with (36% win rate). The class drop, combined with Lezcano’s strong Aqueduct record, makes him a top contender. Expect an improved effort in this softer spot.

#4 Big Rich (7-2)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche (18% in 2024)
Trainer: Jeremiah Englehart (18% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 22%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 84, Late 68
Last Beyer: 61
Field Beyer Average: 51
Running Style: Presser

Comment: Big Rich moves back to dirt, where he’s shown his best Beyer figures, including a 61 in a Saratoga maiden race earlier this year. He’s flashed tactical speed but has struggled to finish races. Carmouche’s aggressive style should help keep him involved early, and Englehart’s 22% win rate with similar moves adds confidence. While he needs to improve to win, the softer field gives him a real chance.

#2 Allofasuddenlee (9-2)

Jockey: Manuel Franco (18% in 2024)
Trainer: Robert Falcone Jr. (20% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 25%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 97, Late 53
Last Beyer: 56
Field Beyer Average: 51
Running Style: Speed

Comment: Allofasuddenlee has been competitive at higher maiden claiming levels on turf, including a strong effort in his debut. He switches to dirt for the first time, and his pedigree (by Superestrella out of a Pomeroy mare) suggests he could handle the surface. Franco’s presence and Falcone’s decent strike rate with surface changes (12%) make him a logical contender, especially if he can control the pace early.

#5 Judge Rules (4-1)

Jockey: Ruben Silvera (12% in 2024)
Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez (13% in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Combo 2023-24: 13%
TimeformUS Pace: Early 74, Late 89
Last Beyer: 66
Field Beyer Average: 51
Running Style: Closer

Comment: Judge Rules has been competitive in several starts at this level, with his late-running style frequently putting him in the mix. His recent Beyer of 66 is one of the best in the field, and Rodriguez’s 19% win rate with turf-to-dirt moves is notable. If the pace is hot early, Judge Rules could close strongly to pick up a share or even win.

Winner #4 Big Rich $6.40
Second #2 Allofasuddenlee $1 exacta $26.75
Third #3 Magic Beach .50 Trifecta $40.37