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- Battaglia's Free Picks For Thursday 10-24-2024
Battaglia's Free Picks For Thursday 10-24-2024
Let's Get Some Winners!
Belmont Free Pick for Today:
Race 8
Post: 4:21 PM ET Outer turf
1 1/8 Miles | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN CLAIMING : $40,000 | Purse: $45,000 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
Selections 8-9-7 (11)-5 Rating ⭐⭐⭐
#8 Cattani (3-1)
Jockey: K. Carmouche (135 24-15-17 .18 in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 21%
Trainer: Michelle Nevin (119 19 .16)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 90, Late 71
Beyer Speed Figure: 64
Comment: Cattani has been knocking on the door, finishing second in two of his last three starts, including a game effort in his last race where he fought hard down the stretch to only lose by a neck. His early pace of 90 will keep him forwardly placed, and with Carmouche’s aggressive riding style, he should be in a great position to either take the lead or press the pace. Michelle Nevin’s barn has been in solid form, and Cattani looks poised to break through today.
#9 Bomb Squad (9-2)
Jockey: J. Rosario (625 93-15-12 .15 in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 18%
Trainer: Christophe Clement (537 103 .19)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 48, Late 88
Beyer Speed Figure: 65
Comment: Bomb Squad has been competitive at this level and brings a strong late-running style to this race. She earned a Beyer of 65 two starts ago and has been consistently in the mix in her recent outings. With Rosario aboard and Clement’s 19% win rate on turf, expect Bomb Squad to sit off the pace and make a strong closing bid. If the pace is fast early, she will be a major player late in the race.
#7 Makeyourmoment (7-2)
Jockey: D. Davis (160 32-26-23 .20 in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 15%
Trainer: Raymond Handal (179 26 .15)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 75, Late 90
Beyer Speed Figure: 61
Comment: Makeyourmoment is lightly raced but has shown potential in his two turf starts. He finished a respectable fifth in a stronger field last time out, and his pace figures (Early 75, Late 90) suggest that he’ll be closing fast if the pace is hot. Davis, who is having an excellent season, will look to position him mid-pack and unleash him in the stretch. This improving gelding offers solid value and could upset with further improvement.
#11 Sweet Tone (4-1) - AE
Jockey: L. Luzzi (68 5 7 1 .07) 2024: (403 35 .09)
Trainer: G. Sciacca (15 1 2 0 .07) 2024: (38 2 .05)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 75 Late 84
Best Beyer: 66
Comment: If draws in, merits strong consideration off game second last out at this level. The late pace figures suggest he'll be running late again. Luzzi knows him well and he seems to be hitting peak form.
#5 Landauer (6-1)
Jockey: J. Lezcano (127 15-17-7 .12 in 2024)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 7%
Trainer: Gary Sciacca (38 2 .05)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 52, Late 68
Beyer Speed Figure: 61
Comment: Landauer had a tough trip in his last race but still managed to improve his position late to finish fifth. His Beyer of 61 indicates he’s competitive at this level, and his connections have been patient. With Lezcano riding, look for Landauer to sit off the early pace and try to make a closing move late. While he needs to improve to win, he’s a solid contender for the exotics in this spot.
Keeneland Free Pick for Today:
Race 9
Post: 5:16 PM ET Dirt
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING : $30,000 | Purse: $54,000 Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Toyota $1 Super High Five
Selections 2-6-3-8 Rating ⭐⭐⭐
#2 Abadin (3-1)
Jockey: L. Saez (99 15 19 8 .15 in 2024: 1152 170 .15)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 16%
Trainer at KEE: Maker (33 2 3 2 .06)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 94 Late 77
Beyer Speed Figures: Last 3: 74-69-79
Comment: Abadin has been consistent this year, finishing in the money in multiple starts, including a third-place effort in a similar claiming race last time out. With a Beyer Speed Figure of 86 and solid early pace, he should be well-positioned to sit close to the lead and finish strong. Trainer Michael Maker has a solid history in these claiming races, and Saez is a top rider, which makes Abadin a strong contender.
#6 Magia Nera (5-2)
Jockey: R.A. Vazquez (19 2 2 1 .11 in 2024: 589 60 .10)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 10%
Trainer at KEE: Jacobson (10 4 1 0 .40)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 88 Late 72
Beyer Speed Figures: Last 3: 83-87-75
Comment: Ultra-consistent runner who rarely runs a bad one, with 8 runner-up finishes from 20 starts. Finished a game second last out at Aqueduct with career-best 83 Beyer. Has tactical speed but can rate effectively and gets relief from the pace scenario here. Major player who should appreciate slight stretch out in distance.
#3 Dazzlemesilver (6-1)
Jockey: T. Gaffalione (76 20 10 8 .26 in 2024: 1240 208 .17)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): N/A
Trainer at KEE: Foley (12 1 2 2 .08)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 78 Late 91
Beyer Speed Figures: Last 3: 66-74-79
Comment: Enters off solid third going seven furlongs at Churchill, earning a 66 Beyer while showing good late interest. Gets leading rider Gaffalione. Late pace figure of 91 is highest in the field and the projected hot pace should set up nicely for his closing kick. Live longshot who could run them all down late at a square price.
#8 Fenwick (8-1)
Jockey: I. Ortiz Jr (64 9 7 8 .14 in 2024: 1277 262 .21)
Jockey/Trainer Win % (2023-24): 27%
Trainer at KEE: D'Angelo (9 1 0 2 .11)
TimeformUS Pace: Early 94 Late 73
Beyer Speed Figures: Last 3: 77-61-63
Comment: Early speed figure suggests he'll be forwardly placed and gets elite rider in Ortiz. D'Angelo barn winning at solid 17% clip on year and horse appears to be rounding back into form coming off an easy win at Gulfstream. Could be tough to catch with clean trip from outside post.