Free Aqueduct and Churchill Picks for Friday 11-8-2024

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Horse Racing New

• Churchill- Wadsworth surfaces, longshot winners meet in co-features

• Churchill- Gigante could provide value in puzzling River City

• Aqueduct- Way to Be Marie returns in Pebbles for hot Atras barn

• Aqueduct- Deterministic tries to end season on a high note in Hill Prince

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Free Picks for today

Churchill Downs Race #7

#5 Enclosure (5-2) Coming off a solid second-place finish at Keeneland, Enclosure has shown consistent form in allowance company, including an 83 Beyer Speed Figure. Mott's success with route runners and Ortiz’s aggressive riding style make Enclosure a top contender, especially with her ability to stay close and pounce late.

#6 Peignoir (3-1) Peignoir has been effective at this distance, with a recent win at Keeneland where she controlled the pace. Brisset's stable excels with front-running types in allowance company, and Geroux’s experience with speed horses should suit Peignoir’s style, especially if she can control the early pace.

#8 Amber Cascade (7-2) Amber Cascade has shown good form at Churchill, including a recent win. Her ability to close strongly at a steady pace gives her an advantage if the leaders duel early. DeVaux’s recent allowance stats add confidence, especially at a mid-range price.

#3 UNDER THE PALMS (7-2) Impressive last out winner at Indiana showing steady improvement. 3yo facing elders but appears to be peaking for top barn. Has tactical speed and fits well at this class level.

Aqueduct Race #6

#1 Clear Conscience (9-2) Clear Conscience is a reliable contender with strong turf form, having been in the money in 4 of 6 this year. His tactical speed allows him to stay close to the pace and make a decisive late run, which is essential in this evenly matched field. Ortiz's return to the saddle (where he previously rode him to a win) is a big plus, suggesting confidence in the horse's ability to perform well here. Englehart’s success with turf routers adds to the appeal, and Clear Conscience has proven consistent against similar fields, making him a solid choice.

#6 Bettrluckythangood (3-1) Bettrluckythangood has been on an upward trajectory, showing a powerful closing kick that suits the projected pace of this race. With one of the highest late pace figures in the field, he is set to benefit if there’s any speed duel upfront. Clement’s strong record with turf horses and Davis’s familiarity with him make this gelding a key player. He also has shown an affinity for Aqueduct’s turf, with multiple in-the-money finishes here. Given his form and closing speed, he is a top contender.

#10 Laurel Valley (12-1) Laurel Valley could offer great value in this field as a forwardly placed horse who might control the pace or sit just off the leader. Rosario’s skilled handling of pace scenarios could allow him to conserve energy for a late burst if needed. Maker’s success with front-runners adds confidence, and Laurel Valley’s recent performances show resilience in maintaining pace over similar distances. With odds likely providing value, he’s an excellent inclusion for exactas and trifectas.

#2 Born Dancer (6-1) Born Dancer offers front-running ability and has performed well at Aqueduct, making him a potential wire-to-wire threat in a field lacking standout speed. Carmouche is adept at aggressive tactics, which could give this gelding a tactical advantage. With competitive Beyer figures, Born Dancer is well-positioned to hold off challengers if he can secure the lead early without much pressure. His recent performances at similar distances indicate readiness to compete at this level.

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