Free Horse Racing Picks for Today - Aqueduct & Churchill Downs

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Today’s Racing
Churchill Downs 12 Races with a 1st post of 1 pm et
Aqueduct 9 Race card with a 1st post of 12:10 pm et

🏇🏇Free Picks for Friday

Churchill Downs Race #10
#3 Kehoe Beach (3-1)

• Jockey: L. Dettori (18% in 2024)

• Trainer: Wesley Ward (26% in 2024)

• J/T Combo 2023-24: 37%

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 112, Late 67

• Last Beyer: 94

• Running Style: Speed/Presser

Shows excellent tactical speed and comes in with peak form, posting back to back wins with a 95 then 94 beyer. Ward and Dettori are a potent combination and she's demonstrated the ability to control pace or stalk. Recent workouts show maintenance of form including a sharp 5f in :59.3 at Keeneland. The early pace advantage makes her dangerous if able to establish favorable position.

#12 Poolside With Slim (Ire) (6-1)

• Jockey: J.R. Velazquez (14% in 2024)

• Trainer: George Arnold (15% in 2024)

• J/T Combo 2023-24: No starts together

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 92, Late 84

• Last Beyer: 88

• Running Style: Stalker

Progressive European-bred who impressively captured the Valley View-G2 last out, demonstrating strong closing ability. Shows tactical versatility and continues to improve with each start. Arnold excels with developing turf runners and the Arnold/Velazquez combo merits respect. Well-drawn outside to work out a clean trip.

#7 Minoushka (GB) (9-2)

• Jockey: T. Gaffalione (17% in 2024)

• Trainer: Brendan Walsh (15% in 2024)

• J/T Combo 2023-24: 20%

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 44, Late 117

• Last Beyer: 84

• Running Style: Closer

Minoushka scored a strong win in allowance company last time out, showcasing her exceptional late pace. Gaffalione’s riding style suits her perfectly in a race with potential pace pressure. Walsh’s training stats in turf routes add to her appeal, especially if the pace collapses late.

#2 Buchu (5-1)

• Jockey: I. Ortiz Jr. (20% in 2024)

• Trainer: Philip Bauer (22% in 2024)

• J/T Combo 2023-24: 50%

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 56, Late 112

• Last Beyer: 87

• Running Style: Closer

Multiple graded stakes performer who's been facing top company. Her closing style fits the likely pace scenario and she retains the services of leading rider Ortiz. Recent works indicate readiness and she could offer value at her morning line.

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Aqueduct 7th RACE

#9 Giant Mischief (9-5)

• Jockey: Francom (23% win rate in 2024)

• Trainer: Brad H. Cox (33% win rate in 2024)

• Jockey/Trainer Combo: 31% win rate at Aqueduct (2023-24)

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 102, Late 83

• Beyer Speed Figure: 97 (last race)

• Field Beyer Average: 92

• Running Style: Stalker

Comment: Giant Mischief is an emerging star from the Brad Cox barn, with impressive speed figures that place him at the top of this field. He’s versatile, capable of pressing or stalking, and his tactical speed should keep him in a prime position. The cutback to six furlongs suits him well, and he enters off a sharp victory in allowance company, stamping him as the horse to beat.

#6 Runninsonofagun (4-1)

• Jockey: J. Rosario (16% win rate in 2024)

• Trainer: John T. Toscano Jr. (10% win rate in 2024)

• Jockey/Trainer Combo: 33% win rate at Aqueduct (2023-24)

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 83, Late 95

• Beyer Speed Figure: 98 (last race)

• Field Beyer Average: 92

• Running Style: Closer

Comment: Runninsonofagun is a consistent stakes performer at Aqueduct and excels over this distance. His strong late pace figures make him dangerous in a race with ample early speed. Rosario’s tactical brilliance adds confidence, and his prior win via disqualification in the Bold Ruler suggests he can contend with top sprinters.

#5 Dean Delivers (6-1)

• Jockey: K. Carmouche (13% win rate in 2024)

• Trainer: Edward T. Allard (18% win rate in 2024)

• Jockey/Trainer Combo: 18% win rate at Aqueduct (2023-24)

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 121, Late 57

• Beyer Speed Figure: 98 (last race)

• Field Beyer Average: 92

• Running Style: Speed

Comment: Dean Delivers has shown brilliance at times, including multiple stakes wins this year. His early speed and determination make him a contender to lead this field into the stretch.

#2 Super Chow (6-1)

• Jockey: D. Egan (10% win rate in 2024)

• Trainer: Jorge Delgado (21% win rate in 2024)

• Jockey/Trainer Combo: 18% win rate at Aqueduct (2023-24)

• TimeformUS Pace: Early 124, Late 59

• Beyer Speed Figure: 96 (last race)

• Field Beyer Average: 92

• Running Style: Speed

Comment: Super Chow is a proven performer in sprint stakes races, consistently posting solid figures. His early speed figures are the highest in the field, giving him an edge in dictating terms. Although stamina at the top level is a concern, his ability to handle pace duels keeps him in the mix.